Real Estate Analysis and Commentary in Littleton

Monthly Market Report - January, 2021

The strong seller’s market of the past few years only continues to tilt toward sellers. New listings were down 12% from the prior year same month, but pending listings were up 1%. The number of closed sales has decreased by 6% (this is being driven down by a lack of inventory).  Meanwhile average days in MLS has decreased by 19 days, down to a mere 26 days currently. Inventory has dropped from 6 weeks to 5. The result on average home price is staggering at an increase of 16% over the year.

Monthly Market Report - December, 2018


Is the market slowing, or is this just a seasonal slowdown? 

The above chart shows that the number of listings is growing significantly. Overall, listings have steadily increased in Denver metro, up 18.1% in November, 2018 from the prior year (currently at 9,188, remember not too long ago when we were in the 4000's?). Further, supply continues to grow, meaning sales are not keeping pace with the increasing numbers of listings: 

Alright, but how is this affecting median price? Currently, median price continues to increase as the chart below shows. However, the rate of increase is slowing slightly. Single family detached housing median price increased by 6.8% from November, 2017 to $425,000 (after increasing 7.6% the prior year). 


So, what does this mean for the future? Most market experts are predicting a further slowing in Denver metro as interest rates are expected to continue to increase eroding affordability in the market (a $1200 monthly mortgage payment would get you a $234,000 loan when interest rates are 4%, but if they increase to 4.5% you could only get a $221,000 loan, and at 5% a $209,000 loan). The good news is more availability for buyers and a more balanced market between buyers and sellers. Check back every couple of weeks as we keep our eye on the market.